From Initial Assumptions to Integrated Energy-System Responses The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s Annual Energy Outlook 2026 includes a Counterfactual Baseline and ten side cases that test selected changes in economic, technological, resource, demand, and policy…
Every four to eight years, U.S. energy policy seems to lurch. Administrations swap emissions targets, subsidy structures, and permitting priorities almost as soon as they take office. Yet one thing has stayed remarkably constant since…
A research agenda for understanding infrastructure, technology, market, and policy responses to large load growth From a sequence of cases to a research agenda Our recent series began with a simple stress-test question: what happens…
How power-sector technology costs affect natural gas demand, prices, production, and LNG exports The power-sector result is only the beginning Data-center electricity demand is emerging as an important source of uncertainty in U.S. energy planning.…
A NEMS Connect sensitivity on data-center electricity growth, zero-carbon technology costs, and power-sector emissions The question after high load Data-center electricity demand has become one of the most important uncertainties in U.S. energy outlooks. In…
When most people think about the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), they think of the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO). That association is understandable. EIA built and maintains NEMS,…
NEMS Connect tests how a lower long-run Asian call on U.S. LNG affects U.S. LNG exports, dry natural gas production, Henry Hub prices, and power-sector capacity.
Electricity demand is once again becoming one of the central questions in U.S. energy planning. After years in which national electricity sales were relatively flat, new sources of load growth are emerging from electrification, manufacturing,…